Polls ahead

The first poll on Scottish independence after the majority of Believe in Scotland’s Autumn of Indy Action campaign has been implemented shows support for Yes significantly increasing to 55%.

Excluding don’t knows, the poll – carried out by Ipsos MORI for STV during November  – suggests if indyref2 was held now the 2014 result could be reversed.

The 55% Yes support is a five per cent increase on the last Ipsos MORI poll before the Scottish elections in May and is the highest Yes vote in a year.

Our Autumn of Action kicked off on September 18, partnering with 112 local Yes groups who restarted their campaigns, the National Yes Network and The National putting out more than 600,000 leaflets.

Then we teamed up with the SNP and The National again to produce an 8-page newspaper and deliver it to 8 million homes across Scotland, reaching almost half the voting poulation with a message on Scotland’s wellbeing through independence. Now Scotland has responded.

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon announced on Monday that the SNP’s independence campaign would begin ‘’in earnest’’ next spring, with a view to the referendum itself being held in 2023 – Believe in Scotland and the Grass roots Yes campiaghn have already started.

The new poll also showed approval ratings for Prime Minister Boris Johnson hitting a record low in Scotland. Four out of five respondents said they were dissatisfied with his performance.  55% is a good pointer, especialy as a poll on independence just before our day of action in September, carried out by Panelbase, showed only 48% backing for Yes with undecideds removed – but there is a lot more work to be done